Sunday, November 25, 2012

TPLF Devised of its Political Manifesto in 1976 to Commit Genocide against Amhara, by Gudu Kassa,2012


The  Tigrayan People's  Liberation Front(TPLF), fascist group had begun to realize their   anti  _ Amhara people labeling them as ethnic group    since 1976  and devised  their   manefesto in 1976  which they pressed "The TPLF manifesto_1968 ". The present Tigrayan Republic   demarcated based on "the 1968  TPLF manifesto" included Welqayitstegedy  and,Seatu Humera of Gondar and Raya ina Qubo of Wollo  .   They (TPLFs) have been working objectively to subjugate  the Amhara people  since 1976. Since then the master mind of TPLF proceeded their devised political agenda segregate Amhara people from the rest of Ethiopians .By devising such political ploy began   committing    genocide and/or ethnic cleansing  against the Amara people most of which are systematic  genocide against the Amhara people. It is imperative  to provide the following documented  credential  evidences about the TPLF committed genocide  against Amhara people since its history at  different time and place : Ever since TPLF took power and in the history of Ethiopia ,they have been targeting people of Amhara origin TPLF after they took power in 1991, they targeted  people of  Amhara and Amhara  origin all over Ethiopia  in their campaign of ethnic cleansing. Still at this movement, they have displacing, torturing  and brutally killing  Amharas any way they can and continuing to do so.The most notable tragic genocide committed by TPLF was  the Bedeno genocide ,where they threw men,women,and children of Amhara ethnic group down a shallow hole while alive. In Arusia, Arbagugu genocide committed in the same fashion they did in Bedeno in 1992,following this  as reported by DW radio ,the TPLF regime forcefully displaced over 20,000 Amharas from a place in Southern Ethiopia called Bench maji zone.

 A census in 2007 found major discrepancy in its reports,showed out of all ethnic groups  in Ethiopia ,the  Amhara ethnic group population revealed an anomaly. According to the census carried out by the TPLF,2.4 millions  Amharas disappeared. Nevertheless, Amhara ethnic group population anomaly  had been remained unjustified  by  the Central Statistics Authority(CSA). The Central Statistics Authority(CSA) official justification explained  in   probability of   the highest infant mortality rate  and  HIVAIDS death in the respective region(Amhara) can be the most likely reasons to the 2007 census discrepancy in the Amhara region.  The justification  to the census anomaly on Amhara ethnic group population confirm the TPLF systematic and targeted genocide  against  Amhara people.The North Gondarian  Amhara people displacement  and/ or replacement by Tigrayan (especially from an areas: Armacheh , Wolket tegeday and Seatetu Humera ( since Humara Sesame seed  variety is well known in the world  market). Such  calculated , targeted and forced  displacement and/or replacement of the Amhara people  from  their birth place and farm land so as  to benefit   Tigrayan  minority ethnic group . In  2012,as reported by Ethiopian Satellite Television (ESAT) and other medias outlets approximately more than   70,000 Amhara ethnic group forced displacement from  Gura ferda in SNNR  can be the most calculated and targeted against Amhara ethnic group to accomplish the 1976 TPLF manifesto of  ethnic cleansing.  There fore, we are too late to take counter action we have to be able to defined ourselves together with other victim  citizen of Ethiopians. TPLF ruled Ethiopia with hunger ,conflict and genocide as a means of repression and deception. Ethiopia as a result of TPLF come to power become landlocked  and paid millions of dollar for the port rent. The tyranny ethnio fascist TPLF junta   had also given away  land from Ethiopia which accounts 88,000km square( 1,300 km  length boarder length with 60 kms radius(distance to  inside) from south western Sudan boarder  to Sudan government   in lack of accountability to Ethiopian people . Finally I concluded that the TPLF junta used any  means under the sun to retain their power  and continue the genocide against Amhara people in particular and the the rest of Ethiopians ingeneral regardless the prevailing situation..





TPLF Manifesto Amhara was labeled as number 1 enemy of TigrayTPLF Manifesto Amhara was labeled as enemy of Tigray

Dear readers click on the following link and read  detail  of the article entitled"The TPLF
manifesto1968"



http://ecadforum.com/articles/tplf-manifesto-amhara-was-labeled-as-enemy-of-tigray/

የአቡነ ጴጥሮስ መታሰቢያ ሐውልት፣ የሚያለማውስ? ከድሜጥሮስ ብርቁ -ቶሮንቶ



የዳግማዊ ምንሊክ አና የአቡነ ጴጥሮስ መታሰቢያ ሃውልቶችን ከስፍራቸው ለማንሳት ዝግጂቱ አንደተጠናቀቀ ስሰማ አሁን በስልጣን ላይ ያለው የህወሃት ቡድን በትክክልም የ”መለስን ራዕይ”ለማስፈጸም ደፋ ቀና አያለ አንደሆነ ተረዳሁኝ። ከዚህ በፊት በሌላ ፅሁፍ አንደገለጽኩት የ”መለስ ራዕይ” የሚባል ነገር አንደሌለ እና የመለስ አየተባለ ለመሸጥ የሚሞክረው “ራዕይ” በትክክል የህወሃት ለመሆኑ አመላክቻለሁ። ጣሊያን ኢትዮጵያን ሲወር የነበረው የፕሮፓጋንዳ ዘመቻ “ሃገሪቱን አሰለጥናለሁ” የሚል ነበር። አስቡት የኢትዮጵያ ስልጣኔ ጉዳይ ወዝውዞት ከጣልያን ሃገር ድረስ ጦር ሰብቆ ሲመጣ። አቡነ ጴጥሮስ በግፍ ሃውልታቸው የቆመበት ቦታ ላይ የተገደሉትም ዛሬ ህወሃት በሚጠቀመው ቋንቋ ሲመነዘር “ጸረ-ልማት” ናቸው በሚል ነበር።
ሲጀመር “ልማት” የሚለው ‘ዲስኩር’ ከጥርጣሬ ይልቅ የህዝብን አመኔታ አንዲገዛ ማድረግ ያስፈልጋል። መረጃ በማፈን፣ ውዢንብር አንዲነግስ በማድረግ ደሞ የህዝብን ትኩረት ለጊዜው በማስቀየር ሌላ የፓለቲካ ጥፋት ከበስከጀርባ መስራት ይቻል አንደሁ አንጂ የሕዝብን አምነት መግዛት አይቻልም። በዚሁ ሃውልት ጉዳይ አንኳን የሚወራው ዜና የተደበላለቀ ነው። መጀመሪያ ይፈርሳሉ የሚል መረጃ ተለቀቀ። ህዝቡ ሲጯጯህ ደሞ “የለም አይፈርሱም” የአቡነ ጴጥሮስ ሃውልት ብቻ ነው ለጊዜው በባለሙያዎች “በክብር” ከቦታው የሚነሳው። ተመልሶም በባለሙያዎች በክብር የነበረበት ቦታ “በክብር” ይቀመጣል” የሚል መረጃ ተለቀቀ። የኋለኛውን መረጃ የምድር ባቡር “ባለስልጣን” (መሆኑ ነው) የተናገረው ተባለ። የባለስልጣኑን ቃል አንደወረደ ማመን ከተሞክሮ አንጻር ስህተት ሊሆን ይችላል። ማን ይሆን? ከየት ይሆን ብሎ -ለማወቅ ያህል- መጠየቁ ዘመኑ ከፈጠረው ፖለቲካ አስተሳሰብ ሳይሆን ካለው ነባራዊ የፓለቲካ የሃይል ሚዛን አና አሰላለፍ ነው መታየት ያለበት። በ “ልማት” ስም መታሰቢያ ሀውልቱን በባለሙያ “በክብር ከማስነሳት” ይልቅ ሃውልቱ በማይነካበት ሁኔታ ባለሙያዎች መስራት የተፈለገውን ግንባታ አንዲሰሩ ስለመቻላቸው ወይንም ስላለመቻልቸው ስለመሞከሩ አና ስላለመሞከሩ የምናውቀው ነገር የለም። የራሳችንን ግምት ግን አንወስዳለን -የአቡነ ጴጥሮስ መታሰቢያ “ለህወሃት ምኑ ነው?” የሚል ጥያቄ ግምት ውስጥ በማስገባት። የህወህትን ተፈጥሮ አና ባህሪ ግምት ውስጥ በማስገባት!
“ልማት”ን የአስከፊ ጥፋት መጠቅለያ ‘ዲስኩር’ እያደረጉ (አንደጣሊያኖቹ) ዝርዝር መረጃ ሲታፈን አና ነገሮች ከህዝብ ጋር ያለምክክር ሲደረጉ ጥርጣሬ ፣ሁከት፣አና ተቃውሞ አንደሚነሳ መዘንጋት ምን ማለት አንደሆነ አይገባኝም። ዛሬ ወታደራዊ ጉልበት ስላለ አና የፖለቲካ መዘውር በሃይል ስለተያዘ ብቻም ህዝቡ አሉኝ የሚላቸውን ከቅርስንትም ያለፈ ትርጉም አና ዋጋ ያላቸውን ታሪካዊም መንፈሳዊም ማህበራዊም ሃብቶቹን አንደፈለጉ መነካካት አሁን ያለውን ትውልድ አና ህዝብ ኢትዮጵያዊ ስነ ልቦና በማድማት የሚያልቅ ጉዳይ አይደለም። የአለመረጋጋትን መሰረት አየጣሉ አንደመሄድ ነው። ተቃውሞው በሌላ መልኩ በሌላ ጊዜ ሲከሰት እንዳሁኑ በመጯጯህ አና በህዘን የሚያልቅ ጉዳይ ላይሆን ይችላል። ከ”ብሶት ተወለድኩ” የሚል ቡድን ብሶት ሊወልድ የሚችለውን ነገር መዘንጋት የለበትም። የትውልዱ ማህበራዊ አስተሳሰብ አና የሃገር ፍቅር ከጥቅም ውጪ ተደርጎአል፤ ስጋት የሚፈጥር ተቃውሞ ሊፈጠር አይችልም( “መቶ አመት አንገዛለን” አንደሚባለው”) የሚመስለው አስተሳሰብ ምናልባት ከትውልዱም የበለጠ የሚናገረው ስለገዢው ቡድን ትምክህትና አላዋቂነት ሊሆን ይችላል። በውጭም በውስጥም ያለውን የጥፋት ትስስር (nexus)ገብቶት አንደ አቡነ ጴጥሮስ ለሃገር ለመሞት የተዘጋጀ ትውልድ ቢነሳስ?
ሕዝቡ “አለማለሁ” የሚለውን ቡድን የሚጠራጠረው ባህሪውን ስለሚይውቅ ብቻ አይደለም። አንዳንድ “ልማት” የሚባሉ ፕሮጀክቶች በእርግጥም የልማት መሆናቸው አጠራጣሪ ስለሆነም ነው። ገዢውም ፓርቲ ለማወናበድም ዝም ለማለትም የሚምክረው የኢትዮጵያን ሕዝብ ስለሚያውቀው ነው። የኢትዮጵያ ህዝብ ከመሬት ተነስቶ አይጠራጠርም። ተሞክሮውን ተመርኩዞ አንጂ! የበፊት የበፊቱን አንኳን ትተን የቅርቡን የጥርጣሬ ምንጭ ለማስታወስ ያህል – የአፍሪካ የውሃ ማማ ናት በምትባለው ፤ ሰፊ የቆዳ ስፋት ዓላቸው ከሚባሉ የአፍሪካ ሃገሮች በምትመደበው ሃገራችን ውሃ አና መሬት የጠፋ ይመስል የስኳር ልማት ዋልድባ ላይ እተክላለሁ ተባለ። “ልማቱ” በትክክል የህወህት አጂ ብቻ ይሁን ወይንም የውጭ ሃይሎች አጂ ይኑርበት እስካሁን ድረስ የገባኝ ነገር የለም። በትክክል የማውቀው ነገር ቢኖር ግን ዋልድባ ድረስ የተሄደው የኢትዮጵይውያንን እምነት ለመዝረፍ አንጂ ለልማት ጉዳይ ብቻ አንዳልሆነ ከማንም ኢትዮጵያዊ አንደማይሰወር ነው።
የአቡነ ጴጥሮስ መታስቢያ በ “ክብር” የሚነሳበት ዓላማ በትክክል ልማት ከሆነ ሃውልቱ የሚያስተጋባው መልዕክት በራሱ ልማትም ለልማትም አስፈላጊ የሆነ መሰረታዊ ነገር አንደሆነ ማወቅ ያስፈልጋል። ሃውልቱ ካረፈበት ኩርማን መሬት ይልቅ ሃውልቱ የሚያስተጋባው መልዕክት ዘላቂነት ላለው የልማት ተሰሳሽነት አስፈላጊ ነው። ልማት ለማጣደፍ የሃገር ፍቅር ያስፈልጋል። የዜጎችን ስብዕና አና ህሊና ማልማት ለልማት አንደ መሰረትም አንደ ቅድመ ሁኔታም መታየት አለበት። በስልጣን መባለጉ፣ በሙስና መዝቀጡ፣ የሃገር ጥቅም አሳልፎ መስጠቱ ፣ ሀገርን ለበላየ ሰቦች ጥሎ ወደ ሰው ሃገር ተሰዶ በሰው ሃገር መደላደሉ ሁሉ የሚመጡት ልማት ካላየው -ካልለማ- ስብዕና ነው። የራስን ዜጋ በሆነ ባልሆነው መጨፍጨፍ አና የመሳሰሉት ችግሮች መነሻቸው ያለማ ህሊና አና የሃገር ፍቅር አለመኖር ነው። ሃገሩን የሚውድ ዜጋ ሃገሩን የሚያገለግልበት ዕድል ሲያገኝ ሃገሩን አይዘርፍም። አያዘርፍምም። ህውልቱ የሚያነበው አና ጩኽቱን የሚሰማው የመንግስት አክል ባይኖርም የሚናገረው አነዚህህ የሃገር ጠንቅ የሆኑ ማህበራዊ አና ፓለቲካዊ ተውሳኮች በመቃወም ነው። እንዴት “ባለ ራዕይ” የሚያመልክ ፓርቲ አና መንግስት ይሄን ማየት ተሳነው?
የአቡነ ጴጥሮስ ሃውልት መታሰቢያ የጠንካራ ስብዕና ፣ የሃገር ፍቅር፣ የቁርጠኝነት አና የነጻነት ተምሳሌትነትን ነው ጧትና ማታ የሚያስተጋባው። በአስቸጋሪ ዘመን በአስቸጋሪ ሁኔታ ውስጥ አውነትን አንቆ ለእውነት ስለተሰዋ ክቡር ኢትዮጵያዊ ነው የሚናገረው። የአቡነ ጴጥሮስ የመንፈስ ጽናት ፤ መልዕክት አና መስዋዕትነት የትግል ስንቅ ሆኗቸው ፋሺስትነትን በጽናት ታግለው ስለሞቱም ኢትዮጵያውያን የሚያስታውሰን መታሰቢያም ነው። ጎበዝ ኢትዮጵያ አኮ በፋሽስት ጦርነት አንድ ሚሊዮን ዜጎቾን አጥታለች። ስልሳ ሺ ታጋዮች ለትግራይ ተሰውላት ተብሎ ትግራይ ላይ ሃውልት የሚሰራ ቡድን በኢትዮጵያን ሃውልት ለምን ይቀለዳል?? በቅርቡ የተሰራው የአባ ጳውሎስ ሃውልትስ ሃይማኖታዊ አይደለም ይፍረስ ሲባል አይፈርሲም ሲባል አልነበረ አንዴ? ምነው አቡነ ጴጥሮስ መታሰቢያ ላይ ተነቃ?! የአቡነ ጴጥሮስ መታሰቢያ “ለህወሃት ምኑ ነው?” ነዋ ነገሩ! ህወህት የተዋጋውን ኢትዮጵያዊነት ጧትና ማታ የሚያስተጋባ ነዝናዣቸው ነዋ!
የገዢው ቡድን በተለይም የህወህት ጽንፈኛ ደጋፊዎች የሚመስሉኝን ሰዎች (አንዳንዶቹ በብዕር ስም የሚጽፉ የአመራር አባላትም ይመስሉኛል) በዌብሳይቶች ላይ የሚጽፉአቸውን ጽሁፎች እከታተላለሁ። በዋነኛነት ከማነባቸው ውስጥ የሳይበር ኢትዮጵያን የፓለቲካ አምድ( click here )አንዱ ነው። በኦፊሲየል ሲነገር የማይሰማውን የህወሃትን የፓለቲካ እሳቤ -በተለይም ከትምክህትና የበላይነት ስለ ልቦና ግንባታ ጋር የተያያዙትን ህሳቦች ቡዙ ሳይነካኩ (አንዳንዴ ምንም ሳይነካኩም) አንደወረደ የሚያቀርቡ ግለሰቦች አይጠፉም።
አንደወረዱ የሚቀርቡትን ትቼ ትንሽ አየተነካኩ አንዳንዴ የስነ-ጽሁፍም ገጽታ እየተሰጣቸው የሚሰነዘሩ ሃሳቦችን ለአብነት አቀርባለሁ። አንደዚህ አይነት ሃሳቦችን ያንጸባርቃሉ ያልኳቸውን ጽሁፎች ለማየት በቅንፍ ውስጥ ያለውን ማጣቀሻ ይጫኑት( click here) ። ሃሳቡ የህወሃት ለመሆኑ ሁነኛ ማስረጃ ይሆናል ብየ ከማስበው ነገር እንዲህ ያለውን ጽሁፍ ብዙ ጊዜ የሚያሞካሿቸው (በዚያው መድረክ ላይ ማለቴ ነው) ህወሃት ባደረገው የትጥቅ ትግል ተሳትፈናል የሚሉ ስልጣን ከያዙ በኋላም ተምረው በዲፕሎማሲ ስራ ላይ (ካያያዛቸው ይመስላል) የተመደቡ ይገኙበታል። ጉዳዩን አዚህ ያነሳሁብትም ምክንያት ህወሃት የሚከተላቸውን “የልማት” ይሁን ሌሎች የኢኮኖሚ ፓሊሲዎች ዓላማቸው ህወሃት የበላይነት ስነ-ልቦን መገንባት አና የበላይነቱን ያስጠበቀበትን የስልጣን ተዋረድ ጠብቆ ለማቆየት የሚያስችለው ከመሆን ውጪ ሌላ ሊሆኑ አንደማይችሉ ለማመላከት ነው። አንዲህ አይነቶቹን ፓሊሲውች ህወሃት በቀጥታ የሚያስትላልፋቸው አይደሉም ማለት ህወህት የውሳኔው አድራጊ አና ፈጣሪ አይደለም ማለትም አይደለም (በነገራችን ላይ የህወህት አመራር ‘ሜንተሮችን’ አንማን ነበሩ? ናቸው?)።
ቅጥ ባጣ የፕሮፓጋንዳ ዘመቻ እና የነጻው ፕሬስ ላይ የዘመተው ህወሃት መራሽ መንግስት ከዚሁ ጎን ለጎን በስፋት የተያያዘው ነገር የህዝብን ስነ-ልቦና የሚዘርፍበት ፣ ማህበራዊ አስተሳሰባችን ርባና ቢስ የሚያደርግበት ዘመቻ ነው (ለአስተሳሰቦቹ ሃውልት የተሰራላቸው አንገበዋቸው የኖሩ አና አንግበዋቸው የሞቱ ኢትዮጵያውያንን በመዘከር አንደሆነ አንዳይረሳ)። ማህብራዊ ስነ-ልብና የሚዘረፍብት ምክንያት በዘራፊነት አና በግፍ ላይ የተመሰረተ የስልጣን ተዋረድ የማይቀርለትን ተቃውሞ በመገንዘብ የተቃውሞውን ምንጭ አና ለስልጣን የበላይነቱ ችግር ይፈጥሩብኛል የሚላቸውን ጉዳዮች ከምንጫቸው ለማድረቅ ከሚደረግ ጥረት አካል ሊሆን አንደሚችል አገምታለሁ።
የመሃል ሃገሩን ታሪካዊውን – ዓለም ጭምር ያወቀውን የነጻነት ትግል የሚያስታውሱ መታሰቢያዎችን በ “ልማት” ሰበብ “መልስን በክብር አንደነበረ አናደርገዋለን” አየተባለ እየሰወርን በነበረው የርስ በርስ ጦርነት “ተሰው” የሚባሉ የህወሃትን ታጋዮች የሚያስታውስ መታሰቢያ ትግራይ ላይ ለቱሪስት ማስጎብኘት አና “በክልሉ” የሚያድጉ ህጻናትን ጭምር በዚህ መልክ ማነጹ አሁንም ትምክህት ክተሞላበት የፓለቲካ ስራ ውጪ ከ”ልማት”ጋር የትያያዘ ነው ለማለት ያስቸግራል። በነገራችን ትግራይ ላይ ያለው ሃውልት ስለ ርስበርስ ጦርነቱ ሙሉ ገጽታ ይሰጣል? ለትግራይ ህጻናት ከ”ትግራዋይነት” እኩል ኢትዮጵያዊነት ስሜት አንዲፈጥሩ ያግዛል? የመሃል ሃገሩስ ታዳጊ ወጣት በራሱ አንኳን አነሳሺነት (መንግስት አንደማያደርገው አርግጠኛ ስለሆነኩ ነው) የሃገሩን ታሪክ አንዲጠይቅ የሚያስታውሰው መታሰቢያ አንዳያይ የሚደረግበት ምክንያት ስልታዊ የስነ ልቦና ዘረፋ ካልሆነ በስተቀር ምን ሊሆን ይችላል??
ህወህት የአርበኛውን የአቡነ ጴጥሮስን መታሰቢያ ህውልት አነሳለሁ በሚልበት ሰዓት ጣሊያኖቹ በኢትዮጵያ ብዙ እልቂት ላደረሰው የጦር መኮንናቸው (ግራዚያኒ) የመታሰቢያ ሃውልት ሊያቆሙ ነው። የህወህት ድርጊት ሳይታሰብ በአጋጣሚ የተደረገ ነው ማለት ያስቸግራል። ምናልባትም የአማካሪ ሃሳብም ያለበት ድርጊት ሳይሆንአይቀርም(ከላይ nexus ያልኩበትም የጥርጣሬ መሰረት ይሄው ነው)። የህዝብ ስነ-ልቦና ዘረፋ የመጨረሻው ደረጃ መሆኑ ነው። ይሄ ጉዳይ በቸልታ የታለፈ አንደሆነ አንድ ሰው ገስግሶ ዓይናችንን ሊያጠፋው ወደዓይናችን ሲጠጋ አይቶ አንዳላይ አንደመሆን ነው። በድርጊቱ ቀጥሎበት ዓይናችን ከተዛቀ የሚደርሰው ነገር ከአካል ጉዳትኝነት ያልፋል።
የአቡነ ጴጥሮስ ሃውልት ሃይማኖታዊ የሆነ አና የነፍጠኞች ነው ተብሎ የሚታሰበው( በህወሃቶች ዘንድ) የኦርቶዶክስ ሃይማኖት የሃይማኖት ቅርስ አይደለም። ክርስቲያን ላልሆነውም ኢትዮጵያዊ ቅርስ ነው። ታሪኩ የሃይማኖት ሳይሆን የነጻነት ትግል ታሪክ ነው። ስለሆነም አሁን ባለው ነብራዊ ሁኔታ በተሻለ ሁኔታ ተደራጂተው እየታገሉ ያሉ ኢትዮጵያውያን ሙስሊሞችም አንደ ኢትዮጵያዊነታቸው በጽናት ሊቃወሙት አና ሊያወግዙት የሚገባ ድርጊት ነው።
የነጻነትን ትርጉም አየጠየቀ “ሊበራሊዝምን” ከእምነት በማይተናነስ መልኩ ተቀብሎ ስለ ውጭ ሰዎች የነጻነት እሳቤ አና ትግል የሚነግሩን የፖለቲካ ሰዎች (“አደፍርሶች”) ፤ የአቡነ ጴጥሮስ አይነት ክቡር ዜጋ ስለ ነጻነት በተግባር የከፈለውን መስዋዕትነት የመነጋገሪያ ርዕስ አድርገው ቢያወሩን ኖሮ ዛሬ አንዲህ አይነት ነገር ሲሰማ የሚሰማው ቁጣ መሰረታዊ ለውጥ ለማምጣት የሚያስችል በሆነ። የነ አባ ጳውሎስ ሃውልት ተጎልቶ የአቡነ ጴጥሮስ ሃውልት በ”ክብር ከቦታው ይነሳል” አየተባለ ሲላገጥ ከመስማት የበለጠ ውርደት ለዚህ ትውልድ መቸም አይመጣም።
ጸሃፊውን በኢሜይል dbirku@hotmail.com ወይንም twitter- @dimetros ላይ ማግኘት ይቻላል።

"መፈረካከሱ ቀጥሏል፤ ፍርሃት፣ ጭንቀትና መደነባበሩም በወያኔ መንደር ተባብሷል”

 

ከይኸነው አንተሁነኝ (ህዳር 21 2012)
የሐምሌና ነሐሴ ከባድ ዝናባማ ወራት ጠቅልለው ከሄዱ ቆይተዋል። ለወጥሮው የኢትዮጵያን ሰማይ ሸፍኖ የነበረው ከባድ ጥቁር ዳመና ከረር ከረር እያለች በመጣችው የፀሐይ ሙቀት ምክንያት እየተሸነፈ እንደ ባለሙያ ሴት የጥጥ ንድፍ እዚህም እዚያም በተን በተን ያለ እጅግ በጣም ስስ ጉም መሆን ከጀመረ ውሎ አድሯል። ሜዳ፣ ጋራና ሸንተረሩ ውሃ ጠግቦ በቃኝ ብሎ በሙሉ ደረቱ የሚያፈስባቸውና በተለምዶ የአበባ ወራት ተብለው የሚጠሩት ወራቶችም ምድሪቱን ካስወቡበት ምትሃታማ አስደማሚና ህሊናን ያዥ ህብር ቀለማቸው እየሸሹ የምድሪቱን አላባ እንካችሁ የሚሉበት ወርሃ ጥጋብ ወርሃ ምርት ጊዜ እየደረሰ ነው። ጓዳ ጎድጋዳው፣ ሸጥና ወንዙ፣ ኩሬ ሸለቆው፣ ወጣ ገባ ተራራው ባጠቃላይ ምድሪቱ በሚላስ በሚቀመስ ሲሳይ የምትጎበኝበትና የምትሞላበት መልካም የደስታና የጥጋብ ወራት፤ ወርሃ ምርት ኢትዮጵያ።

Saturday, November 24, 2012

ተቃዋሚዎች ከኢህአዴግ ጋር ድርድር እንፈልጋለን አሉ Written by አበባየሁ ገበያው

 

በመጪው ግንቦት ወር በሚካሄደው የአካባቢና የአዲስ አበባ ከተማ አስተዳዳር ምርጫ የጊዜ ሰሌዳ ላይ ከመወያየታችን በፊት በምርጫው ዲሞክራሲያዊነትና ነፃ መሆን ላይ ልንወያይ ይገባል በሚል ለምርጫ ቦርድ በደብዳቤ ጥያቄ ያቀረቡ 34 ተቃዋሚ ፓርቲዎች፤ የምርጫ ምልክት ውሰዱ መባሉን ተቃወሙ፡፡ በምርጫ ቦርዱ ላይ እምነት ስለሌለን ከኢህአዴግ ጋር ያለቅድመ ሁኔታ ድርድር እንፈልጋለን ብለዋል - ተቃዋሚ ፓርቲዎቹ፡፡የኢህአዴግ ጽ/ቤት ቢሮ ኃላፊና በጠ/ሚኒስትሩ የህዝብ አደረጃጀት አማካሪ አቶ ሬድዋን ሁሴን በበኩላቸው፤ የምርጫ ስነምግባር ደንቡን ካልፈረሙ ፓርቲዎች ጋር አንደራደርም ብለዋል፡፡
ፓርቲዎች የምርጫ ምልክታቸውን እስከፊታችን ሰኞ እንዲወስዱ ምርጫ ቦርድ ያስታወቀ ሲሆን ተቃዋሚዎች በበኩላቸው፤ ለቦርዱ ደብዳቤ በማስገባት ምላሽ እየጠበቁ ባሉበት ሰዓት የምርጫ ምልክት ውሰዱ መባላቸው አግባብ እንዳልሆነ ተናግረዋል፡፡
ተቃዋሚዎች ላቀረቡት ጥያቄ ምርጫ ቦርድ “ምላሽ የሚሰጠው ተገቢ ጥያቄዎችን ሲያቀርቡ ነው” ሲል ለአዲስ አድማስ መግለፁ ይታወሳል፡፡ ተቃዋሚ ፓርቲዎቹ በቦርዱ ላይ እምነት እንደሌላቸው በመግለፅ፡- ከኢህአዴግ ጋር ውይይት እንደሚፈልጉና ከዛ በፊት የምርጫ ምልክት እንደማይወስዱ አስታውቀዋል፡፡
የመድረክ የስራ አስፈፃሚ አባልና የ34ቱ ፓርቲዎች ጊዜያዊ ኮሚቴ ዋና ሰብሳቢ አቶ አስራት ጣሴ ለአዲስ አድማስ ሲያስረዱ፤ “ከዚህ ቀደም የተደረጉ ምርጫዎች ችግር የነበረባቸው በመሆናቸው ከጊዜ ሰሌዳው በፊት በምርጫው ፍትሃዊነትና ዲሞክራሲያዊነት ላይ ውይይት እንዲደረግ ፒትሽን ተፈራርመን ለቦርዱ አስገብተን፣ ለሱ ምላሽ ሳይሰጥ ምልክት ውሰዱ መባሉ ተገቢ አይደለም” ብለዋል የምርጫ ቦርዱ ተአማኒነትና ተቀባይነት ጥያቄ ውስጥ ነው ያሉት አቶ አስራት ጣሴ፤ ከኢህአዴግ ጋር በተለያዩ አገራዊ አጀንዳዎች ላይ ያለምንም ቅድመ ሁኔታ መወያየት እንደሚፈልጉ ተናግረዋል፡፡ 34ቱም ፓርቲዎች ከኢህአዴግ ጋር በሚያግባቧቸው የጋራ አጀንዳዎች ላይ ለመወያየት እየተዘጋጁ እንደሆነ የጠቆሙት አቶ አስራት ጣሴ፤ ውይይቱ ኢትዮጵያ ስላለችበት ተጨባጭ ሁኔታ በተለይ በሰብአዊና ዲሞክራሲያዊ መብት፣ በፖለቲካዊና ኢኮኖሚያዊ መረጋጋት እንዲሁም የኢትዮጵያ ህልውናና ሉዓላዊነት በሚሉ ጉዳዮች ዙሪያ እንደሚያተኩር ገልፀዋል፡፡
የፖለቲካ ፓርቲዎቹ በመጪው ቅዳሜ በ“አንድነት” ቢሮ በሚያካሂዱት ስብሰባ ከኢህአዴግ ጋር ስለሚያደርጉ ውይይት እንደሚመክሩ ታውቋል፡፡ ኢህአዴግ በበኩሉ፤ የምርጫ ስነምግባር ደንቡን ካልፈረሙ ፓርቲዎች ጋር ውይይትና ድርድር አናደርግም ብሏል፡፡
maleda times | November 24, 2012 at 5:15 pm | Categories: AMHARIC NEWS | URL: http://wp.me/p2gxmh-16f
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A New Prime Minister in a New Ethiopian Year

 

Ethiopians had their new year on September 11. It is now 2005 in the Gregorian calendar. On September 21, they also got a new prime minster. How delightfully felicitous to have a new prime minister in the new year! Heartfelt congratulations and best wishes to the people of Ethiopia are in order.
Hailemariam Desalegn was sworn in as prime minister before a special session of parliament. It was a rather low key affair with little pomp and circumstance. There were no parades and no sounds of bugle or trumpet announcing the changing of the guard. No inaugural balls. It was a starkly scripted ceremonial affair with minimal fanfare and political theatricality. Some 375 of the 547 members of Parliament sat quietly and heard Hailemariam recite the oath of office and gave him a hearty round of applause.
Since late May, Hailemariam has been operating in political limbo. He was officially described as “deputy”, “acting” and “interim” prime minster, the latter two offices unauthorized by the Constitution of Ethiopia. There were also some nettlesome constitutional questions about the duties of the deputy prime minister in the absence of the prime minister and the proper method of succession. Those issues aside, Hailemariam’s swearing in ceremony was scheduled on several prior occasions only to be cancelled without adequate explanation.  The abrupt cancellations fueled all types of speculations and conspiracy theories about turmoil and confusion  among the ruling elites. To complicate things further, it was officially announced days before the actual swearing in ceremony that Hailemariam would be sworn in early October. For some publicly unexplained reason, a special session of parliament was suddenly called for the purpose of naming a prime minister creating additional public confusion about the manifest dithering among the power elites.
Hailemariam takes office under a cloud of apprehension. Speculations abound that he is really a “figure head”, a “front man” and a “seat warmer” for the entrenched interests in a transitional period. Critics suggest that he will have little independence of action and will be puppet-mastered by those who control the politics and economy behind the scenes. Others suggest that he is a “technocract” who is unlikely to survive in a political machine that is lubricated by intrigue, cabalist conspiracy and skullduggery. But some, including myself, have taken a  wait-and-see attitude and would like to give him the benefit of the doubt.
Hailemariam’s “inauguration speech” hammered the theme of “Stay the Course.” He said under his leadership the programs and projects that have been initiated and underway will continue to completion. “Our task is to stay the course on the path to firm development guided by the policies and strategies [of our party]. We will continue to pursue development and democracy by strengthening our collective leadership and by mobilizing the people.” He said modernizing agriculture and the rural economy by accelerating agricultural development were top priorities. His government “will work hard” to improve agricultural infrastructure. He promised help to cattle raisers. He emphasized the need for better educational quality and entrepreneurial opportunities for the youth. He said the country needs a curriculum focused on science, technology and math. His administration will work hard to expand opportunities for women and pay greater attention to women’s health and improved health care services to mothers. He called upon the intellectuals and professional associations to engage in rigorous applied policy analysis and research to solve practical problems.
Hailemariam said his vision is to see Ethiopia join the middle income countries in ten years. To achieve that, he said significant improvements are needed in industry and manufacturing. His administration will pay special attention to remove development bottlenecks, improve the export sector and facilitate greater cooperation between the privatesector and the government. He promised to work hard to alleviate housing and transportation problems in Addis Ababa. He touched upon the economy noting that though inflation is coming down, much more action is needed to bring it under control. He urged Ethiopians to bite the bullet (tirs neksen) and make sure the existing plans for ground and rail transportation, hydroelectric power generation and telecommunications are successfully executed. He pledged to complete the “Hedasse Gidib” (“Renassaince Dam”) over the Blue Nile. He referred to corruption and mismanagement in land administration, rent and tax collections and public contracts and pledged to get the public involved in eliminating them. He noted that there were significant deficits in good governance in the operation of the police, courts, security system that need to be improved.
Hailemariam emphasized that importance of human rights. He urged the parliamentary oversight committee to review the work of the Human Rights Commission for improvements. He underscored the vital role of the  Elections Commission, the Human Rights Commission, press organizations and opposition parties in the country’s democratization. He said he was ready to work “closely” with press organizations, civic society institutions and other entities engaged in the democratic process.  On foreign policy, he focused on regional issues, Ethiopia’s contribution to peace-building in Somalia, South Sudan and the  Sudan.
The speech could best be described as “technocratic” in the sense that it focused on ways of solving the  complex problems facing the country. The speech was short on rhetoric, oratory, appeals to the pathos of the masses and big new ideas and promises.  He did not sugarcoat the deep economic problems of the country with hyperbolic claims of 14 percent annual growth nor did he make any grandiose claims about Ethiopia as the “one of the fastest-growing, non-oil-dependent economies in the developing world”. There were no impactful or memorable lines or sound bite phrases in the speech. He offered no inspirational exhortations in words which “soared to poetic heights, igniting the imagination with vivid imagery”. There were no anecdotes or storytelling about the plight of the poor and the toiling masses. It was a speech intended to serve as a call to action with the message that he will work hard and asks the people to join him. He spoke of responsibility, hard work, willingness to lead, standing up to challenges, engaging the opposition, civil society and press institutions, etc.  for the purpose of improving the  lives of the people.
Hailemariam’s speech was a refreshing change from similar speeches of  yester years in a number of ways. It was delivered in a dignified and statesmanlike manner. It was not an ideologically laced speech despite repeated references to the guiding grand plan. It was accommodating and bereft of any attitude of the old militaristic and aggressive tone of “my way or the highway.” There was no finger pointing and demonization. He did not use the old tricks of “us v. them”. He did not come across as an arrogant know-it-all ideologue. He offered olive branches to the opposition, the press and other critics of the ruling party. What was even more interesting was that he did not pull out the old straw men and whipping boys of  “neoliberalism”, “neocolonialism”, and “imperialism” to pin the blame on them for Ethiopia’s problems. He did not pull any punches against the local opposition or neighboring countries. He used no threats and words of intimidation.  Even when he addressed the issues of corruption, mismanagement and abuse of power, he aimed for legal accountability rather than issuing   empty condemnatory words or threats.
Another surprising aspect was the fact that the speech contained none of the old triumphalism, celebratory lap running and victorious chest-beating exercises. There was no display of strength of the ruling party, no self-congratulations and ego stroking. He softly challenged the opposition and the people to work together in dealing with the country’s problems.  His speech seemed to be aimed more at making the people think and act on existing plans than making new promises. Over all, the speech was written with intelligence, thoughtfulness and purpose. Hailemariam spoke in a cool and collected manner and tried to get his points across directly. What he lacked in rhetorical flair, he made up with a projection of self-assurance, humility, respectability and profesionalism.
What Was Not Said
There were various things that were not said. Though Hailemariam acknowledged the structural economic problems and the soaring inflation, he offered no short-term remedial plans.  He repeatedly came back to  “stay the course”  theme. Does “staying the course” mean “our way or the highway”?  Is national reconciliation an idea the ruling party will consider? There was no indication in the speech about the transitional process itself, but he did offer what appeared to be olive branches to the opposition, the press and others.
Hailemariam also did not give any indication about the release of the large numbers of political prisoners that are held throughout the country. Nor did he mention anything about re-drafting the various repressive press, civil society and so-called anti-terrorism laws. For over a decade, all of the major international human rights and press organizations have condemned the government in Ethiopia for its flagrant violations of human rights, illegal detention of   dissidents and suppression of press institutions and persecution of journalists.
Words and Actions: Shoes of the New Prime Minister
It is often hard to judge politicians by the speeches they make. It is not uncommon for politicians to deliver inspirational speeches and come up short on the action side of things. It is true that action speaks louder than words. In his speech, it seems Hailemariam sought to move himself, his party and the people to action. But he is in a difficult situation. He feels, or is forced to feel, that he has to “fill in big shoes”.  He said he will walk in  footsteps that have already been stamped out. But the shoe that fits one person pinches another. But for all the hero worship, Hailemariam must realize that there is a difference between shoes and boots. For two decades, boots, not shoes, were worn. Those boots have made a disfiguring impression on the Ethiopian landscape. It must be hard to pretend to walk in the shoes of someone who had sported heavy boots. The problem is what happens when one wears someone else’s shoes that do not fit. Do you then change the shoe or the foot?  I hope Hailemariam will in time learn to walk in the shoes of the ordinary Ethiopian. He will find out that those shoes are tattered and their soles full of holes. Once he has walked a mile in those shoes, he will understand what it will take to get every Ethiopian new shoes. He must also realize that “it isn’t the mountain ahead that wears you out; it’s the grain of sand in your shoe.” There comes a time when we all need new shoes. That time is now. All Ethiopians need new shoes for the long walk to freedom, democracy and human rights. Prime Minster Hailemariam does not need hand-me down shoes; he needs shoes that are just his size and style and rugged enough for the long haul.
I believe Hailemariam gave a good “professional” speech. I do not think it will be remembered for any memorable lines, phrases or grand ideas. It was a speech that fit the man who stood before parliament and took the oath of office. As a self-described utopian Ethiopian, I thought the very fact of Hailemariam taking the oath of office symbolically represented the dawn of a long-delayed democracy in Ethiopia. Few would have expected a man from one of the country’s minority ethnic group to rise to such heights. Whether by design, accident or fortune, Hailemariam’s presence to take the oath of office, even without a speech or a statement, would have  communicated a profound message about Ethiopia’s inevitable and unstoppable transition to democracy. Most importantly, now any Ethiopian boy or girl from any part of the country could genuinely aspire to become prime minister regardless of his/her ethnicity, region, language or religion.
I do not know if  history will remember Hailemariam’s “inaugural” speech as a game changer. History will judge him not for the words he spoke or did not speak when he took the oath of office but for his actions after he became prime minister. It’s premature to judge. I like the fact that he appeared statesmanlike, chose his words carefully, focused on facts and presented himself in businesslike manner. It is encouraging that he   expressed commitment to work hard to make Ethiopia a middle income country within a decade. He showed a practical sense of mission and vision while keeping expectations to reasonable levels.
To be Or Not To Be a Prime Minister
“Being Prime Minister is a lonely job,” wrote Maggie Thatcher, Britain’s first female prime minsiter. “In a sense it ought to be; you cannot lead from a crowd.” I would say being a prime minister for Hailemariam, as the first prime minster from a minority ethnic group, will be not only lonely but tough as well. But somebody has got to do it. Hailemariam has his work cut out for him and he will face great challenges from within and without, as will the people of Ethiopia. I wish him well paraphrasing Winston Churchill who told his people in their darkest hour:
I would say to the House as I said to those who have joined this government: I have nothing to offer but blood, toil, tears and sweat. We have before us an ordeal of the most grievous kind. We have before us many, many long months of struggle and of suffering. You ask, what is our aim? I can answer in one word: Democracy. Democracy at all costs. Democracy in spite of all terror. Democracy, however long and hard the road may be, for without democracy there is no survival.”
I believe Ethiopia will survive and thrive and her transition to democracy is irreversible, inevitable, unstoppable and divinely ordained!
On a personal note, I would give Prime Minster Hailemariam a bit of unsolicited advice. Smile a little because when you smile the whole world, not just the whole of Ethiopia, smiles with you!
Amharic translations of recent commentaries by the author may be found at: http://www.ecadforum.com/Amharic/archives/category/al-mariam-amharic and http://ethioforum.org/?cat=24
Previous commentaries by the author are available at: http://open.salon.com/blog/almariam/  and www.huffingtonpost.com/alemayehu-g-mariam/

Ethiopia’s ruling minority junta decides to remove the iconic statue of Martyred bishop, Abune Petros

 

Abune Petros status in Addis Ababa
“My countrymen… do not believe the fascists if they tell you that the patriots are bandits. The patriots are people who yearn for freedom from the terrors of fascism.
“Bandits are the solders (Italians) who are standing in front of you and me; who came from afar to terrorize and violently occupy a weak but peaceful country. May God give the people of Ethiopia the strength to resist. Never to bow    down to the fascist army and its violence.
“May the Ethiopian soil never accept the invading army’s rule.”
The last pithy words of his holiness Abune Petros, executed by the Italians on 29 July 1936, for denouncing colonialism and brutal oppression.
No one thought that the little shepherd born in the tiny northern town of Fiche wouldbecome a shining comet of Ethiopian patriotism which still flows from one generation to the other like the mighty river of Abaye.
In the year 2000, honered as one of the millenniums’ martyrs by the church of Sweden, Abune Petros was just a young monk when fascist Italy invaded Ethiopia in 1932. That same year, the patriotic clergy followed emperor Hailesilassie to the decisive battle of Maichew where he witnessed the undiscerning terror of the invading Italian army.
He watched Italian bombers spraying nerve gas, wiping out forests, burning villages and indiscriminately killing civilians.
Later, he safely returned to the famous Debre Libanos monastery and started preaching against the invasion and unlawful occupation of Ethiopia, at times visiting the patriots and guerilla groups in their hideouts of central and northern highlands.
However, in July 1936, he was captured inside Addis Ababa while encouraging the people to show merciless resistance to the Italians.
Once in jail, the occupiers gave him an ultimatum of accepting the Italians as legitimate rulers or face death by hanging, to which he famously replied “the cry of my country men who were killed by nerve gas will never allow my conscious to accept your ultimatum. How can I see my God if I turn a blind eye to such a crime.”
Soon after giving that incandescent speech, a swarm of bullets from the execution platoon killed the beloved bishop on July 29, 1936 in central Addis Ababa.
His statue was raised 10 years after his death, a few meters away from where he was martyred.
Nonetheless, according to fresh reports emerging out of Addis Ababa, the imposing structure will be demolished in the coming days to make way for a rail project that passes through the capital,  and it remains to be seen if such cruel move doesn’t incite the people of Ethiopia toopen rebellion.
As the junta continues to destroy the country’s revered heritage sites, the removal of Abune Petros’s statue will go down in history as the most ignoble and gruesome one.
infohorntimes@gmail.com

Friday, November 23, 2012

Likely war over the Blue Nile River? by Robele Ababya, 23 November 2012


Blue Nile River in Dry Season, Ethiopia

The Nile water is the sole lifeline for Egypt to which the Blue Nile River contributes 85%. The Blue Nile River is a vitalindispensable resource of Ethiopia for irrigation farming in view of her increasing population, source of hydraulic power, and a deterrent weapon of last resort for self-defense. The two countries are naturally bound by the Blue Nile on which they are dependent for survival. This is a top priority agenda like no others for both Ethiopia and Egypt to take extreme care in order to stop radicals on both sides bent on souring relations.
The writing of this piece is prompted by the uncertainty in the fate of multi-party democracy in Egypt and the intransigence of the TPLF-controlled EPRDF government to make an all-inclusive change conducive to robust internal harmony and unity to respond to any external threat to national interests. The matter is so serious that I gave it a rather scary title after a lot of soul-searching, but the arrogant stance of prominent Egyptian leaders begged for it as mentioned in the paragraph below – notwithstanding my long held dream that democratic Ethiopia and Egypt will one day emerge as powerful allies working together as keepers of stability and engines of economic growth in the region and beyond in the African continent.
But the new Egyptian regime appears to have dimmed any hope of engendering a secular democratic state given that liberal democratic political forces that have spearheaded the Egyptian revolution have withdrawn from drafting the constitution. It seems the government is bent on following in the footsteps of its predecessors. For example: in 1970, Egyptian President Anwar Sadat threatened war with Ethiopia over the proposed construction of a dam on LakeTana on the Blue Nile (El-Khodary, 1995: 1); the Egyptian former Secretary General of the United Nations, Boutros-Ghali, is reported to have talked of war over the Nile waters (Butts, 1997: 1); in October 1991, the Defense Minister of Egypt “remarked in al Ahram that his country would not hesitate to use force to defend its control of the Nile River, and predicted that future Middle East wars could result from water scarcity issues (Postel, 1992: 4) adding “I do not actually expect an impending control of the Nile River by a foreign country, but we consider it a possibility and are planning our military strategy accordingly” (Postel, 1992: 5).It is to be recalled that the Minister, FieldMohamed Hussein Tantawi Soliman, took over power from President Mubarak relinquishing it later to President Mohamed Morsi of the Moslem Brotherhood Party (FJP).  My emphasis
This recent setback for democracy in Egypt has considerably curbed my earlier hope that democratic Egypt and Ethiopia will play key roles in stabilizing the region and promoting development thus becoming formidable political forces to contend with; will be partners in the development of the Nile Basin – a key factor of regional policy to avoid war.
There is nothing more serious than asserting Ethiopia’s right to control the source of the Blue Nile, but this requires the unity of her citizens and competent leadership with Ethiopia’sinterest at heart. But the EPRDF as it now stands is so weakened by internal wrangles of its own creation rendering it unable to defend vital national interests in the face of endless threat by Egypt to control the Blue Nile River.
Diminishing per capita quota of Nile water
The table below provides a frightening data of rapidly diminishing quota per capita of water available to riparian states for the period 1995 to 2025 vindicating the predicted fear that future wars would be over water more than anything else. Note that Ethiopia would incur a loss of 1365 cubic meters by 2025 remaining with only 842 cubic meters per capita quota in almost 12 years from now.
Diminishing per capita quota of Nile water
Source: Water politics in the Nile Basin: From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia, (December 2007)
Suggestion to split riparian states in two groups
There are ten (10) riparian states entitled to the utilization of the Nile water of which Ethiopia is the source for 85% of it. With Egypt at the receiving end, Sudan in the middle and Ethiopia as the source, the relationship among these three countries is of paramount importance to the rational development of the Blue Nile Basin for the proportionate benefit of all parties.
It is interesting to note that the seven riparian states in the Great Lake Region are a cohesive group in the East African community with only Uganda having dams built or planned project on the White Nile River. This is unlike the other three lacking the knack for political cooperation due to their history of conflicts for centuries; the two of them are members of the Arab League traditionally inimical to vital strategic interests of Ethiopia.
The Nile water should therefore be resolved in two parts comprising White Nile riparian states on the one hand and those of the Blue Nile on the other so that issues unique to each can be much less cumbersome to handle and more effective to define and resolve to the satisfaction of parties to the issue. The approach in handling the matter at the two distinct regional blocs is further justified by the fact that the need for the Nile water greatly varies among the ten riparian states. But cooperation is encouraged under the umbrella of all riparian states of the Nile and African Union where the interests of the two blocs converge.
It can be argued that Ethiopia as provider of the lion’s portion  is entitled to have veto power in any bilateral agreement with Sudan involving the sharing, conservation and development of the Blue Nile water; similarly, Sudan should have a veto power over its agreement with Egypt. However it would be best if the three enter into a viable single agreement and forge a regional community emulating the countries of the Great Lake Region. This is in line with my recommendation made three decades ago in a friendly discussion with Egyptian experts at the reception held at their Embassy in Addis Ababa. It was appreciated that: cooperation would open the door for regional economic block involving Egypt, Sudan, and Ethiopia; the trio would become a powerful block in bolstering and expediting the African Union to realize continental integration; the saving of resources from such arrangement would be enormous.
The Blue Nile River is a natural bond of indispensable significance to Egypt and Sudan. Ibrahim Nasreddin of Cairo University’s Institute for African Studies said that “a 20-year-old feasibility study, a cooperative venture between some of the Nile’s source countries and donor states, to build 50 dams on the River Nile over 50 years has not seen any headway due to the high cost of these dams”.  He added that “the projects would cost in excess of $40 billion. According to Nasredin, “none of the African states can afford this. They won’t be able to repay loans of such an amount.” Source: Article by Reem Leila, Al-Ahram Weekly January 5, 2011.
Incidentally, the Imperial regime had participated in the abovementioned study, which I had the opportunity to see several volumes shelved in the study room of the Monarch at His Bahr Dar Palace. I was reverently surprised by His interest to read about the study of the dam projects.
Water expert Diaa El-Qousi stresses that “Egypt’s cooperation with other Nile Basin countries is based on a sense of neighborhood and an understanding of mutual interests and is likely to be an ongoing process that will encompass educational, irrigation, electricity, agriculture and industry-based projects. He goes on to state that “Egypt’s immediate focus will be on issues deriving from the ecology of the Nile Basin and on prospects for economic integration among the riparian countries that provide Nile water in a way that will ensure the maximum utilization of resources. Egypt is taking steps towards implementing joint projects with Nile Basin countries and is seeking agreement on future plans. Within this context, economic and trade relations between Egypt and Ethiopia are developing rapidly. The volume of Egyptian investments in Ethiopia is expected to increase to more than $1.1 billion.”
I was upbeat about the Egyptian uprising as written in some of my articles. However with the reported stance of President Morsi behaving like ‘the new Pharaoh’, entirely exclusive of secular liberal political parties that spearheaded the uprising, I should confess that my enthusiasm is considerably subdued. So should the optimism of Nasredin and Diaa El-Qousi, I would think. Egypt should propose scaling down of the DAM instead of pushing to scrape it altogether taking advantage of the weakness of the EPRDF at this time.
The Renaissance Dam
At all times and at this time of uncertainty in regional politics particularly I reiterate my stand that robust defense force and internal harmony are quintessential to preserve and protect national values; however the repressive government in power must change its ethnic-based policy and open the political space for very serious consultations with all political opposition parties, civic organizations, and above all the Ethiopian people as the ultimate and supreme source of power and owners of the country’s resources. I would like to underline that it would be foolhardy to construct the so-called “Renaissance Dam” at a location within artillery range from Sudan – a situation that will require missile defense against in-coming Egyptian air strike. My hunch is however that Egypt will send a commando force at some critical stage to destroy the Dam, which action would inflame political turmoil in Ethiopia and entail hefty loss of capital expenditure – a highly probable grave scenario indeed.
My suggestion is therefore to scale down the size of the Dam at its present location considerably and build as many other dams as required in the Amhara, Oromia and Gambella regions on rivers tributaries of the Blue Nile.
Conclusion
It is irresponsible to weaken internal harmony and strength by pursuing the familiar cheap politics of divide-and-rule along religious and ethnic lines thereby playing into the hands of hawkish Egyptian leaders to exploit any weak point in our midst to destabilize us. Therefore EPRDF government should release all political prisoners, preserve the unity of the 1682-yeay-old Ethiopian Orthodox Tewahido Church, and acquiesce to all constitutional demands of the Ethiopian Muslims so that unity and strength is achieved to effectively defend national interest.
The riparian states of the Nile should be split into two blocs, namely, Ethiopia, Sudan and Egypt on the one hand and the rest on the other. Ethiopia is legitimately the one to control the Blue Nile River in her territory and use it as a deterrent weapon of last resort in self-defense. To that effect, there has to be unity, internal peace and strength.
LONG LIVE ETHIOPIA!!!